{"id":22174,"date":"2024-11-26T11:36:20","date_gmt":"2024-11-26T01:36:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/?p=22174"},"modified":"2024-11-26T15:59:44","modified_gmt":"2024-11-26T05:59:44","slug":"trump-shows-his-tariff-hand-timber-prices-to-rise-from-day-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/trump-shows-his-tariff-hand-timber-prices-to-rise-from-day-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Shows His Tariff Hand \u2014 Timber Prices to Rise from Day 1!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Massive price hikes on imported timbers are coming with Donald Trump, today (Australian time), vowing to introduce a 25% tariff on all goods coming from Canada and Mexico and a blanket 10% tariff on all incoming Chinese goods from his first day of office, January 20, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The move, President-elect Trump said, is in retaliation for illegal immigration and &#8220;crime and drugs&#8221; coming across the border:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;On January 20, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States and its ridiculous Open Borders,&#8221; Trump&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/113546215051155542\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">posted<\/a>&nbsp;on his Truth Social platform. &#8220;This Tariff will remain in effect until Drugs, in particular Fentanyl and all Illegal Aliens, stop this Invasion of our Country!&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump said America&#8217;s neighbours can &#8220;easily solve this long-simmering problem.&#8221; Similarly, Trump said that China will face higher tariffs on its goods \u2013 by 10% above any existing tariffs \u2013 until it prevents the flow of illegal drugs into the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;I have had many talks with China about the massive amounts of drugs, in particular Fentanyl, being sent to the United States \u2013 But to no avail,&#8221; Trump&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/113546215408213585\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">posted<\/a>&nbsp;on Truth Social. The president-elect claimed that Chinese officials promised him the country would execute drug dealers caught funnelling drugs into the United States but &#8220;never followed through.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The first round of Trump tariffs will strike the world&#8217;s largest trading block.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/forget-the-red-sea-trumps-tariff-plan-could-fuel-timber-trade-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">While most of the commentary around Trump&#8217;s tariffs has focused on America&#8217;s trade with China<\/a>, the<a href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/new-vow-north-america-ramps-up-war-on-illegal-logging\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;USMCA\u2014the trading block combining the United States, Mexico, and Canada\u2014accounts for around 30% of global GDP<\/a> and has enormous implications for the worldwide trade of forest products. The US and Canada are the largest and fourth largest timber and pulp producers, respectively. Meanwhile, Mexico &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/americas-pivot-mexico-not-china-top-buyer-of-us-lumber\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the United States&#8217; top buyer for lumber <\/a>&#8211; is one of the international hot spots for illegal logging,<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forest-trends.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/Mexico-Timber-Legality-Risk-Dashboard-IDAT-Risk.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> trading 5 to 15 million cubic metres of illegal timber annually.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220.jpg\" alt=\"More than US $3 billion in softwood lumber trade occurs between the United States and Canada. (Photo Credit: Adobe Stock Images)\" class=\"wp-image-19879\" srcset=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220-696x464.jpg 696w, https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220-631x420.jpg 631w, https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/AdobeStock_458398414-fotor-20240509135657-1024x682.jpg-fotor-20240603162220-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">More than US $3 billion in softwood lumber trade occurs between the United States and Canada. (Photo Credit: Adobe Stock Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>With more than US $3 billion in softwood lumber traded across the border, the United States and Canada have been parties to a four-decade-long trade dispute over softwood duties (which currently stands at 14.54%) &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/why-a-3-4-price-range-is-key-to-canada-usa-lumber-dispute\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">with the US Department of Commerce accusing Canada of dumping low-priced timber into the country.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/expect-a-rough-ride-trump-tariffs-spell-trouble-for-global-timber\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, Jason Morris, the University of Northern British Columbia&#8217;s UNBC Senior Political Science Instructor, warned that Trump&#8217;s tariffs could spell disaster for Canada&#8217;s (and British Columbia&#8217;s, more specifically) besieged timber industry: &#8220;We can keep an eye on our forestry policies in BC and the North to see how that goes, but with the slump in that industry, the negative impacts at present could be negligible should a new softwood lumber war emerge.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will tariffs drive up the cost of sustainable housing construction?<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/91234064\/building-a-sustainable-home-could-get-more-expensive-under-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Speaking to Fast Company<\/a>, Michael Eliason, an architect and principal at Larch Lab, said that the new tariffs will slow down the take-up of mass timber construction in projects: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;My guess is it that a 20% increase in material costs is going to see a lot of people clamouring for repealing green building and efficiency mandates to &#8216;lower cost.'&#8221;<\/p>\n<cite>Michael Eliason, an architect and principal at Larch Lab on the impact of Trump&#8217;s Tariffs on take up for mass timber construction projects.<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>As it stands, the vast majority of mass timber used in American projects tends to be imported. However, while recent efforts have been<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/90972933\/portlands-new-airport-terminal-looks-like-its-from-the-future-but-its-built-out-of-wood\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> to revive and create domestic supply chains<\/a>&nbsp;for this material in the Southeast and Pacific Northwest, much of the raw material used for these projects still comes from Canada and Europe. Most of the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodworks.org\/resources\/mapping-mass-timber\/#:~:text=In%20the%20U.S.%2C%202%2C253%20multi,built%20as%20of%20September%202024.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">nearly 2,250-plus such projects<\/a>&nbsp;in the US were&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/forisk.com\/blog\/2023\/07\/21\/mass-timber-production-in-north-america\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">made with imported wood<\/a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During Trump&#8217;s previous administration, concerns over tariffs and trade wars on the mass timber supply led many to consider\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.archpaper.com\/2019\/01\/u-s-mass-timber-industry-maturing\/#:~:text=President%20Donald%20Trump%27s%20tariffs%2C%20enacted,administration%2C%20this%20could%20dramatically%20change.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ramping up domestic manufacturing<\/a>. There are signs that growth in the industry has spurred more investment to expand production capacity in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/go-south-americas-deep-south-is-next-frontier-for-mass-timber\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">southeast US<\/a>. But the mass timber industry in the US is &#8220;still in its infancy,&#8221; Pat Jolley, product manager for Forisk Consulting, told<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/90972933\/portlands-new-airport-terminal-looks-like-its-from-the-future-but-its-built-out-of-wood\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00a0<\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/90972933\/portlands-new-airport-terminal-looks-like-its-from-the-future-but-its-built-out-of-wood\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fast Company<\/a>.<\/em>\u00a0&#8220;However, it remains to be seen how the new trade policy impacts its growth.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>To learn more about the North American softwood lumber dispute and its impact on the price of Spruce-Pine-Fir (SPF) and Southern Yellow Pine (SYP), <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/why-a-3-4-price-range-is-key-to-canada-usa-lumber-dispute\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">click here for Wood Central&#8217;s special feature.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Massive price hikes on imported timbers are coming with Donald Trump, today (Australian time), vowing to introduce a 25% tariff on all goods coming from Canada and Mexico and a blanket 10% tariff on all incoming Chinese goods from his first day of office, January 20, 2025. The move, President-elect Trump said, is in retaliation [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21869,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[51,3,38,37,47,33,41,32,46,42,39,48,49,68,43,31,40],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[70],"class_list":{"0":"post-22174","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-americas","8":"category-architecture","9":"category-architecture-and-design","10":"category-building-and-construction","11":"category-commercial","12":"category-editors-picks","13":"category-exterior-wood-products","14":"category-global-news","15":"category-industry","16":"category-interior-wood-products","17":"category-mass-timber","18":"category-mid-rise-construction","19":"category-residential","20":"category-sector","21":"category-structural-wood-products","22":"category-top-stories","23":"category-wood-products"},"authors":[{"term_id":70,"user_id":2,"is_guest":0,"slug":"jason","display_name":"Jason Ross","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/J-Ross-headshot.jpeg","url2x":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/J-Ross-headshot.jpeg"},"0":null,"1":"","2":"","3":"","4":"","5":"","6":"","7":"","8":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22174"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22174\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22196,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22174\/revisions\/22196"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22174"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/woodcentral.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=22174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}